MODEL HISTORY
Transparent predictions
Published estimates keep their timestamp, model version, factors, risks and settlement—including losses.
All demo model records
| Event | Market / selection | Probability | Confidence | Quality | Settlement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northbridge vs Harbor | 1X2 Northbridge City | 46% | 74% | 82/100 | pending |
| Giants vs Comets | Winner Ironvale Giants | 61% | 78% | 76/100 | pending |
| Vega vs Novak | Match winner Solara Vega | 57% | 69% | 71/100 | pending |
| Summit vs Orbit | 1X2 Summit Athletic | 51% | 72% | 79/100 | lost |
What probability means
An estimated long-run frequency for an outcome under the model inputs. It does not express certainty.
What confidence means
A separate assessment of input quality, sample stability and model agreement. It is not the probability.